Downloads
Public Deliverables
D7.7 Update 1 Data Management Plan (DMP)
The AGILE project’s D7.7 updates the Data Management Plan and outlines how project data is organised, stored, shared and preserved, while providing guidance on data security, GDPR compliance, ethical and legal requirements and the application of FAIR principles across the consortium.
D7.5 Update 1 Project Risk Management Plan
The AGILE project’s D7.5 updates the project Risk Management Plan by reviewing the current status of identified risks, newly emerging risks and mitigation measures, and outlines the approach used to continuously assess, monitor and manage risks throughout project implementation.
D1.3 AGILE’s Approach to HILP strategic foresight, lateral thinking and creativity
The AGILE project’s D1.3 explores approaches to managing HILP events through strategic foresight, lateral thinking and scenario development, combining theoretical and empirical insights and providing practical guidelines to support more adaptive, creative and cross-sectoral preparedness and planning.
D5.3 Guidelines on current risk communication for HILP
The AGILE project’s D5.3 reviews current risk communication frameworks, evidence and practices for HILP events and provides practical guidelines to support clearer, actionable, inclusive and coordinated communication across preparedness, response and recovery phases.
D5.2 Strategic Capacity Development for HILP
The AGILE project’s D5.2 presents a strategic capacity development framework for HILP preparedness, defining key competencies at systemic, organisational and individual levels and translating them into a pilot training architecture aimed at strengthening adaptive, coordinated and resilient response capabilities.
D5.1 Evidence-based planning guideline for HILP events and a toolkit
The AGILE project’s D5.1 provides an evidence-based planning guideline and practical toolkit for HILP events, translating AGILE research into planning principles and tools that support threat-agnostic, systems-oriented preparedness, resilience and decision-making across sectors and governance levels.
D3.4 Validated STT3 methodology & toolkit
The AGILE project’s D3.4 presents the validated Stress Test Tier 3 (STT3) methodology and toolkit, focusing on the quantitative analysis of cascading failures in complex socio-technical systems by combining resilience stress testing, multilayer network science and agent-based modelling.
D3.3 Validated STT2 methodology & toolkit
The AGILE project’s D3.3 presents the validated Stress Test Tier 2 (STT2) methodology and toolkit, providing a structured, participatory and semi-quantitative approach to assess critical infrastructure resilience and identify interdependencies, cascading effects, systemic vulnerabilities and coordination bottlenecks under HILP scenarios.
D3.2 Validated STT1 methodology & toolkit
The AGILE project’s D3.2 presents the validated Stress Test Tier 1 (STT1) methodology and toolkit, a qualitative, system-focused and threat-agnostic approach for assessing resilience to high-impact, low-probability events. It explains how STT1 can be prepared and implemented to identify critical functions, dependencies, common points of failure, cascading effects, and potential mitigation measures, while also summarising lessons from its validation across AGILE case studies.
Posters & Presentations
How Hazards Turn Into Disasters: Perspectives of Emergency Responders
Arkaprabha Bhattacharyya, Nazli Yonca Aydin and Tina Comes
Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events
G. Pescaroli, L. McMillan, M. Gordon, N.Y. Aydin, T. Comes, M. Maraschini, J. Palma Oliveira, S. Torresan, B. Trump, M. Pelling, and I. Linkov
Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events
Gianluca Pescaroli, Anawat Suppasri, Luca Galbusera
Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes
Vitalii Zubok
A Method for Reducing the Uncertainty Caused by a Power Outage During a Cyber Incident Response
Vitalii Zubok, Roman Drahuntsov
Root cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay
Nazli Yonca Aydin, Mine Imirzalioglu, Sebnem Duzgun
High-Impact Low-Probability events and Systemic Resilience: A Network-Based Methodology and its application to the metropolitan city of Venice
Silvia Torresan, Margherita Maraschini, Davide Mauro Ferrario, Samuele Casagrande, Saman Ghaffarian, Benjamin D. Trump, Igor Linkov, José Palma-Oliveira, and Andrea Critto
SRA Iberia Poster
José Manuel Palma-Oliveira and Dalila Antunes showcased our innovative approach towards agnostic and system-focused resilience assessments with a dedicated poster detailing our framework for Resilience Stress Testing in AGILE.
BMBF Poster
AGILE had the honor of participating in the “From Lab to Life” panel. Alongside RiskPACC, LINKS EU Project, DIRECTED Project and Firelogue, we showcased how the transfer of scientific knowledge to practical applications can succeed.
Other Communication material
Project Concept Flyer
AGILE will understand, anticipate, and manage High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events from a systemic risk and resilience perspective. This will be achieved by designing, developing, and applying a holistic methodological framework and practical tools.
HILP Workshop Flyer
Join us in co-creating a reference library of historical high impact low probability disasters that will help us exploring the underlying patterns and mechanism.
Share your experience and insights on the importance and links between different vulnerabilities to help us understand why some hazards become disasters.
Publications
How Hazards Turn Into Disasters: Perspectives of Emergency Responders
Arkaprabha Bhattacharyya, Nazli Yonca Aydin and Tina Comes
Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events
G. Pescaroli, L. McMillan, M. Gordon, N.Y. Aydin, T. Comes, M. Maraschini, J. Palma Oliveira, S. Torresan, B. Trump, M. Pelling, and I. Linkov
Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events
Gianluca Pescaroli, Anawat Suppasri, Luca Galbusera
Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes
Vitalii Zubok
A Method for Reducing the Uncertainty Caused by a Power Outage During a Cyber Incident Response
Vitalii Zubok, Roman Drahuntsov
Root cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay
Nazli Yonca Aydin, Mine Imirzalioglu, Sebnem Duzgun
High-Impact Low-Probability events and Systemic Resilience: A Network-Based Methodology and its application to the metropolitan city of Venice
Silvia Torresan, Margherita Maraschini, Davide Mauro Ferrario, Samuele Casagrande, Saman Ghaffarian, Benjamin D. Trump, Igor Linkov, José Palma-Oliveira, and Andrea Critto