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	<title>AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</title>
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	<description>Holistic methodological framework &#38; tools for understanding, assessing, managing, &#38; communicating HILPs events with a systemic risk &#38; resilience perspective</description>
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		<title>Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Definitions-and-taxonomy-for-High-Impact-Low-Probability-HILP-and-outlier-events.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:39:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/progressing-the-research-on-systemic-risk-cascading-disasters-and-compound-events-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>G. Pescaroli, L. McMillan, M. Gordon, N.Y. Aydin, T. Comes, M. Maraschini, J. Palma Oliveira, S. Torresan, B. Trump, M. Pelling, and I. Linkov</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Definitions-and-taxonomy-for-High-Impact-Low-Probability-HILP-and-outlier-events.pdf#new_tab">Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>G. Pescaroli, L. McMillan, M. Gordon, N.Y. Aydin, T. Comes, M. Maraschini, J. Palma Oliveira, S. Torresan, B. Trump, M. Pelling, and I. Linkov</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Definitions-and-taxonomy-for-High-Impact-Low-Probability-HILP-and-outlier-events.pdf#new_tab">Definitions and taxonomy for High Impact Low Probability (HILP) and outlier events</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Progressing-the-research-on-systemic-risk-cascading-disasters-and-compound-events.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:29:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/assessment-and-improvement-of-digital-resilience-in-the-energy-crisis-caused-by-missile-strikes-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Gianluca Pescaroli, Anawat Suppasri, Luca Galbusera</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Progressing-the-research-on-systemic-risk-cascading-disasters-and-compound-events.pdf#new_tab">Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gianluca Pescaroli, Anawat Suppasri, Luca Galbusera</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Progressing-the-research-on-systemic-risk-cascading-disasters-and-compound-events.pdf#new_tab">Progressing the research on systemic risk, cascading disasters, and compound events</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Assessment-and-improvement-of-digital-resilience-in-the-energy-crisis-caused-by-missile-strikes.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:24:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/a-method-for-reducing-the-uncertainty-caused-by-a-power-outage-during-a-cyber-incident-response-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Vitalii Zubok</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Assessment-and-improvement-of-digital-resilience-in-the-energy-crisis-caused-by-missile-strikes.pdf#new_tab">Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vitalii Zubok</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Assessment-and-improvement-of-digital-resilience-in-the-energy-crisis-caused-by-missile-strikes.pdf#new_tab">Assessment and improvement of digital resilience in the energy crisis caused by missile strikes</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>A Method for Reducing the Uncertainty Caused by a Power Outage During a Cyber Incident Response</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/A-Method-For-Reducing-The-Uncertainty-Caused-By-A-Power-Outage-During-A-Cyber-Incident-Response.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:19:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/root-cause-of-critical-infrastructure-failures-in-the-2023-southeast-turkey-earthquake-a-case-study-from-hatay-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Vitalii Zubok, Roman Drahuntsov</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/A-Method-For-Reducing-The-Uncertainty-Caused-By-A-Power-Outage-During-A-Cyber-Incident-Response.pdf#new_tab">A Method for Reducing the Uncertainty Caused by a Power Outage During a Cyber Incident Response</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vitalii Zubok, Roman Drahuntsov</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/A-Method-For-Reducing-The-Uncertainty-Caused-By-A-Power-Outage-During-A-Cyber-Incident-Response.pdf#new_tab">A Method for Reducing the Uncertainty Caused by a Power Outage During a Cyber Incident Response</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Root cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Root-cause-of-Critical-Infrastructure-Failures-in-the-2023-Southeast-Turkey-1.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:15:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/high-impact-low-probability-events-and-systemic-resilience-a-network-based-methodology-and-its-application-to-the-metropolitan-city-of-venice-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Nazli Yonca Aydin, Mine Imirzalioglu, Sebnem Duzgun</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Root-cause-of-Critical-Infrastructure-Failures-in-the-2023-Southeast-Turkey-1.pdf#new_tab">Root cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nazli Yonca Aydin, Mine Imirzalioglu, Sebnem Duzgun</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/Root-cause-of-Critical-Infrastructure-Failures-in-the-2023-Southeast-Turkey-1.pdf#new_tab">Root cause of Critical Infrastructure Failures in the 2023 Southeast Turkey Earthquake: A case study from Hatay</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>High-Impact Low-Probability events and Systemic Resilience: A Network-Based Methodology and its application to the metropolitan city of Venice</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/High-Impact-Low-Probability-events-and-Systemic-Resilience-A.pdf#new_tab</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 10:12:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/d6-2-interim-report-on-the-implementation-of-the-impact-strategy-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Silvia Torresan, Margherita Maraschini, Davide Mauro Ferrario, Samuele Casagrande, Saman Ghaffarian, Benjamin D. Trump, Igor Linkov, José Palma-Oliveira, and Andrea Critto</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/High-Impact-Low-Probability-events-and-Systemic-Resilience-A.pdf#new_tab">High-Impact Low-Probability events and Systemic Resilience: A Network-Based Methodology and its application to the metropolitan city of Venice</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Silvia Torresan, Margherita Maraschini, Davide Mauro Ferrario, Samuele Casagrande, Saman Ghaffarian, Benjamin D. Trump, Igor Linkov, José Palma-Oliveira, and Andrea Critto</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/wp-content/uploads/High-Impact-Low-Probability-events-and-Systemic-Resilience-A.pdf#new_tab">High-Impact Low-Probability events and Systemic Resilience: A Network-Based Methodology and its application to the metropolitan city of Venice</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>XVI Ukrainian Internet Governance Forum (IGF-UA 2025)</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/events/xvi-ukrainian-internet-governance-forum-igf-ua-2025/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 16:11:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/6th-annual-meeting-of-the-society-for-risk-analysis-europe-iberian-chapter-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Kyiv, Ukraine</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/xvi-ukrainian-internet-governance-forum-igf-ua-2025/">XVI Ukrainian Internet Governance Forum (IGF-UA 2025)</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h1>XVI Ukrainian Internet Governance Forum (IGF-UA 2025)</h1></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner">20-21 November 2025</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p data-start="358" data-end="580">The <strong data-start="362" data-end="379">AGILE project</strong> was represented at the <strong data-start="403" data-end="460">XVI Ukrainian Internet Governance Forum (IGF-UA 2025)</strong>, where <strong data-start="468" data-end="485">Vitaly Zublok</strong> (PIMEE, Ukraine) contributed to discussions on <strong data-start="533" data-end="580">“Stress-testing of Digital Infrastructure.”</strong></p>
<p data-start="582" data-end="1019">The session addressed <strong data-start="604" data-end="626">digital resilience</strong> as a growing challenge for critical infrastructure management. Stress-testing of digital systems is increasingly recognised as an essential component of sustainable infrastructure governance, extending beyond traditional “strength tests” to examine how systems <strong data-start="888" data-end="929">operate, recover, and adapt over time</strong>—not only during an initial shock, but in the minutes, hours, days, and weeks that follow.</p>
<p data-start="1536" data-end="1984">Within this context, AGILE is developing a <strong data-start="1579" data-end="1620">three-tier stress-testing methodology</strong> for complex <strong data-start="1633" data-end="1666">cyber-socio-technical systems</strong>. Currently, <strong data-start="1679" data-end="1713">Tier 1 and Tier 2 stress tests</strong> are being implemented through case studies, involving system operators, stakeholders, and public authorities. These activities support the analysis of negative scenarios, cascading effects, and resource needs, contributing to improved adaptation and recovery strategies.</p>
<p data-start="1986" data-end="2153">The outcomes of this work will inform <strong data-start="2024" data-end="2078">future international practices and recommendations</strong> aimed at strengthening the resilience of critical digital infrastructures.</p></div>
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			</div><p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/xvi-ukrainian-internet-governance-forum-igf-ua-2025/">XVI Ukrainian Internet Governance Forum (IGF-UA 2025)</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>4th AGILE General Assembly in Rotterdam</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/news/agile-scientific-lead-in-crisis-response-journal-on-hilp-events-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 16:05:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/agile-scientific-lead-in-crisis-response-journal-on-hilp-events-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Rotterdam, The Netherlands</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/news/agile-scientific-lead-in-crisis-response-journal-on-hilp-events-2/">4th AGILE General Assembly in Rotterdam</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h1>4th AGILE General Assembly in Rotterdam</h1></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner">25-26 September 2025</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p data-start="376" data-end="825">The <strong data-start="380" data-end="425">4th General Assembly of the AGILE project</strong> was held in <strong data-start="438" data-end="451">Rotterdam</strong>, hosted by <strong data-start="463" data-end="502">Veiligheidsregio Rotterdam-Rijnmond</strong> and the <strong data-start="511" data-end="540">Municipality of Rotterdam</strong> at the <strong data-start="548" data-end="569">World Port Center</strong>. Bringing together partners from across Europe and beyond, the two-day meeting focused on advancing AGILE’s work on <strong data-start="686" data-end="732">HILP events</strong>, cascading effects, interdependencies, and resilience in the face of unexpected disruptions.</p>
<p data-start="1133" data-end="1277">Over the course of the meeting, partners engaged in in-depth discussions and collaborative workshops covering key project activities, including:</p>
<ul>
<li data-start="1280" data-end="1466">Progress on the <strong data-start="1296" data-end="1322">HILP Reference Library</strong> and the <strong data-start="1331" data-end="1358">Stress Test methodology</strong>, with valuable host perspectives on strengthening methodological development and stakeholder communication;</li>
<li data-start="1280" data-end="1466">Exchange of lessons learned and practical insights across work packages;</li>
<li data-start="1280" data-end="1466"><strong data-start="1544" data-end="1567">World café sessions</strong> dedicated to stakeholder engagement, exploitation planning, and risk communication;</li>
<li data-start="1280" data-end="1466">Ongoing work on scenario building, cyber resilience, and translating research outputs into actionable tools.</li>
</ul>
<p data-start="1764" data-end="2133">Beyond the technical programme, the General Assembly also provided opportunities to strengthen collaboration and informal exchange. Thanks to the warm hospitality of the hosts, participants were able to connect outside the meeting rooms, including a guided exploration of Rotterdam’s historic port area and a social dinner showcasing the city’s unique maritime setting.</p>
<p data-start="2135" data-end="2526">The AGILE consortium extends its sincere thanks to <strong data-start="2186" data-end="2225">Veiligheidsregio Rotterdam-Rijnmond</strong> and the <strong data-start="2234" data-end="2263">Municipality of Rotterdam</strong>, as well as all organisers and partners, for their commitment to making the 4th General Assembly both productive and memorable. The discussions, insights, and connections developed in Rotterdam will play a key role in shaping the next phase of the AGILE project.</p></div>
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			</div><p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/news/agile-scientific-lead-in-crisis-response-journal-on-hilp-events-2/">4th AGILE General Assembly in Rotterdam</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>6th Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe – Iberian Chapter</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/events/6th-annual-meeting-of-the-society-for-risk-analysis-europe-iberian-chapter/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 15:50:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/esrel-sra-e-2025-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Évora, Portugal</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/6th-annual-meeting-of-the-society-for-risk-analysis-europe-iberian-chapter/">6th Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe – Iberian Chapter</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h1>6th Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe – Iberian Chapter</h1></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner">18-19 September 2025</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p data-start="374" data-end="585"><span> On 18–19 September 2025, Factor Social took part in the 6th Annual Meeting of the</span><span class="white-space-pre"> </span><a class="pXkrWorzxECzGNIhsObQFEsKqBOgDugEPVX " target="_self" href="https://www.linkedin.com/company/sraeurope/" data-test-app-aware-link="" tabindex="0"><span>Society for Risk Analysis Europe</span></a><span class="white-space-pre"> </span><span>– Iberian Chapter, hosted at the University of Évora, Portugal, under the theme “Systemic risks in a changing world: Bridging science and society for evidence-based practice”.</span><span><br /></span><span><br /></span><span>Our partners, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/rosa-beatriz/" id="ember1898" class="ember-view" tabindex="0">Beatriz Rosa</a></span><span class="white-space-pre"> </span><span>and</span><span class="white-space-pre"> </span><span><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/jmpalmao/" id="ember1899" class="ember-view" tabindex="0">José Manuel Palma-Oliveira</a></span><span class="white-space-pre"> </span><span>presented two posters developed within the</span><span class="white-space-pre"> AGILE </span><span>Project:</span></p>
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<li data-start="374" data-end="585"><span>Preparing for the Unpredictable: A Framework for Threat-Agnostic Resilience Stress Testing</span></li>
<li data-start="374" data-end="585"><span>Taming Uncertainty: Risk Communication in High-Impact Low-Probability Events</span><span></span></li>
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<p><span>These contributions reflect</span><span class="white-space-pre"> the </span><a class="pXkrWorzxECzGNIhsObQFEsKqBOgDugEPVX " target="_self" href="https://www.linkedin.com/company/project-agile/" data-test-app-aware-link="" tabindex="0"><span>AGILE</span></a><span class="white-space-pre"> project&#8217;s </span><span>approach to strengthening resilience by advancing threat-agnostic stress testing and enhancing risk communication for HILP events, thereby supporting preparedness for uncertain and complex risks.</span></p></div>
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			</div><p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/6th-annual-meeting-of-the-society-for-risk-analysis-europe-iberian-chapter/">6th Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe – Iberian Chapter</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>ESREL SRA-E 2025</title>
		<link>https://www.project-agile.eu/events/esrel-sra-e-2025/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Manoj]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 15:43:30 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.project-agile.eu/events/world-bosai-forum-2025-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Stavanger, Norway</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/esrel-sra-e-2025/">ESREL SRA-E 2025</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></description>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><h1>ESREL SRA-E 2025</h1></div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner">15-19 June 2025</div>
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				<div class="et_pb_text_inner"><p data-start="374" data-end="585">The AGILE project was actively represented at <strong data-start="420" data-end="440">ESREL SRA-E 2025</strong>, held in <strong data-start="450" data-end="471">Stavanger, Norway.</strong></p>
<p data-start="587" data-end="1131">At ESREL SRA-E 2025, <strong data-start="608" data-end="625">Ali Cheschomi</strong>, together with <strong data-start="641" data-end="662">Nazli Yonca Aydin</strong> and <strong data-start="667" data-end="681">Tina Comes </strong>from Delft University, presented a <strong data-start="695" data-end="762">systematic review on stress testing of critical infrastructures</strong>. The presentation introduced a conceptual framework aimed at supporting the development of <strong data-start="854" data-end="890">new stress-testing methodologies</strong> better suited to address H<strong data-start="916" data-end="962">igh Impact Low Probability (HILP) events</strong>. The conference provided a valuable platform for exchanging insights with researchers and practitioners working at the intersection of <strong data-start="1098" data-end="1130">risk analysis and resilience</strong>.</p></div>
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			</div><p>The post <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu/events/esrel-sra-e-2025/">ESREL SRA-E 2025</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.project-agile.eu">AGILE: Risk management for high Impact Low probability Events</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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